Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina
Model pick: Vojvodina (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.53
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Novi Pazar | Vojvodina |
|---|
| League position | #9 (4 pts) | #2 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
*Novi Pazar shown at home, Vojvodina shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Novi Pazar — last 5
LWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Vojvodina — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Novi Pazar (home) | Vojvodina (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Dominic Sadi (4) | Aleksa Vukanovic (7) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Novi Pazar or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Vojvodina or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Novi Pazar clean sheet | 22% |
| Vojvodina clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vojvodina is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Vojvodina edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina — FAQ
Who will win Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina?
Our statistical model makes Vojvodina the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Novi Pazar 30%, draw 26%, Vojvodina 43%.
Will both teams score in Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Novi Pazar and 1.53 for Vojvodina — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Novi Pazar or draw is 55%.