Novy Jicin vs Bohumin Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Novy Jicin vs Bohumin
Model pick: Bohumin (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.56 – 7.02
Total goals: 7.6
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Novy Jicin | Bohumin |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.75 | 3.6 / 1.0 |
*Novy Jicin shown at home, Bohumin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Novy Jicin — last 5
LDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bohumin — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Novy Jicin (home) | Bohumin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.56 vs 7.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-7 (12%) |
| Double chance — Novy Jicin or draw (1X) | 1% |
| Double chance — Bohumin or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Novy Jicin clean sheet | 0% |
| Bohumin clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bohumin is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Despite playing away, Bohumin edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.6, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Novy Jicin vs Bohumin — FAQ
Who will win Novy Jicin vs Bohumin?
Our statistical model makes Bohumin the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Novy Jicin 0%, draw 1%, Bohumin 98%.
Will both teams score in Novy Jicin vs Bohumin?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Novy Jicin vs Bohumin?
Expected goals are 0.56 for Novy Jicin and 7.02 for Bohumin — about 7.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Novy Jicin vs Bohumin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-7 (12%). Double chance for Novy Jicin or draw is 1%.