Nurnberg II vs Buchbach Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Nurnberg II vs Buchbach
Model pick: Nurnberg II (93%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 23.06 – 4.7
Total goals: 27.8
Over 2.5: 3%
Both teams score: 5%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nurnberg II | Buchbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 2.67 / 1.33 |
*Nurnberg II shown at home, Buchbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nurnberg II — last 5
DDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Buchbach — last 5
DDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nurnberg II (home) | Buchbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 0% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (23.06 vs 4.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-4 (13%) |
| Double chance — Nurnberg II or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Buchbach or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Nurnberg II clean sheet | 1% |
| Buchbach clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nurnberg II is the model's most likely outcome at
93%. Nurnberg II are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (97% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Nurnberg II vs Buchbach — FAQ
Who will win Nurnberg II vs Buchbach?
Our statistical model makes Nurnberg II the most likely result at 93%. Full probabilities: Nurnberg II 93%, draw 4%, Buchbach 3%.
Will both teams score in Nurnberg II vs Buchbach?
The model gives a 5% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nurnberg II vs Buchbach?
Expected goals are 23.06 for Nurnberg II and 4.7 for Buchbach — about 27.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nurnberg II vs Buchbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-4 (13%). Double chance for Nurnberg II or draw is 97%.