Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt
Model pick: Schweinfurt (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.67 – 2.41
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nurnberg II | Schweinfurt |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*Nurnberg II shown at home, Schweinfurt shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nurnberg II — last 5
LLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Schweinfurt — last 5
DDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 4% of the time; 70% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nurnberg II (home) | Schweinfurt (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.67 vs 2.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Nurnberg II or draw (1X) | 46% |
| Double chance — Schweinfurt or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Nurnberg II clean sheet | 9% |
| Schweinfurt clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Schweinfurt is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Despite playing away, Schweinfurt edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt — FAQ
Who will win Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt?
Our statistical model makes Schweinfurt the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Nurnberg II 28%, draw 21%, Schweinfurt 51%.
Will both teams score in Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt?
Expected goals are 1.67 for Nurnberg II and 2.41 for Schweinfurt — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nurnberg II vs Schweinfurt?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Nurnberg II or draw is 46%.