Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda
Model pick: Nyíregyháza Spartacus (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nyíregyháza Spartacus | Kisvárda |
|---|
| League position | #9 (3 pts) | #6 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Nyíregyháza Spartacus shown at home, Kisvárda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nyíregyháza Spartacus — last 5
WDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Kisvárda — last 5
LWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nyíregyháza Spartacus (home) | Kisvárda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Nyíregyháza Spartacus or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Kisvárda or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Nyíregyháza Spartacus clean sheet | 31% |
| Kisvárda clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nyíregyháza Spartacus is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Nyíregyháza Spartacus are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda — FAQ
Who will win Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda?
Our statistical model makes Nyíregyháza Spartacus the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Nyíregyháza Spartacus 39%, draw 28%, Kisvárda 33%.
Will both teams score in Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Nyíregyháza Spartacus and 1.16 for Kisvárda — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Kisvárda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Nyíregyháza Spartacus or draw is 67%.