Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE
Model pick: Paksi SE (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.88
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nyíregyháza Spartacus | Paksi SE |
|---|
| League position | #7 (6 pts) | #6 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 2.0 / 2.4 |
*Nyíregyháza Spartacus shown at home, Paksi SE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nyíregyháza Spartacus — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Paksi SE — last 5
DLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nyíregyháza Spartacus (home) | Paksi SE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (2.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 60% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 1.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Nyíregyháza Spartacus or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Paksi SE or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Nyíregyháza Spartacus clean sheet | 15% |
| Paksi SE clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Paksi SE is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Paksi SE edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE — FAQ
Who will win Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?
Our statistical model makes Paksi SE the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Nyíregyháza Spartacus 30%, draw 24%, Paksi SE 46%.
Will both teams score in Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?
Expected goals are 1.42 for Nyíregyháza Spartacus and 1.88 for Paksi SE — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nyíregyháza Spartacus vs Paksi SE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Nyíregyháza Spartacus or draw is 52%.