Nykobing vs Middelfart Prediction & Preview
Denmark Cup · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DENMARK CUP
Nykobing vs Middelfart
Model pick: Draw (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 0.29
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 11%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nykobing | Middelfart |
|---|
| League position | #2 (11 pts) | #3 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Nykobing shown at home, Middelfart shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nykobing — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Middelfart — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nykobing (home) | Middelfart (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-0 in 3 (2.7 / 1.3 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 33% |
Denmark Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.08
Home wins: 19%
Draws: 3%
Away wins: 78%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Denmark Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 0.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (54%) |
| Double chance — Nykobing or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Middelfart or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 41% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Nykobing clean sheet | 75% |
| Middelfart clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (89% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Nykobing vs Middelfart — FAQ
Who will win Nykobing vs Middelfart?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Nykobing 24%, draw 56%, Middelfart 21%.
Will both teams score in Nykobing vs Middelfart?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nykobing vs Middelfart?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Nykobing and 0.29 for Middelfart — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nykobing vs Middelfart?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (54%). Double chance for Nykobing or draw is 81%.