Nykopings vs Ragsved Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Nykopings vs Ragsved
Model pick: Nykopings (51%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.96 – 0.24
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nykopings | Ragsved |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.6 | 0.75 / 1.75 |
*Nykopings shown at home, Ragsved shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nykopings — last 5
LLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ragsved — last 5
DWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nykopings (home) | Ragsved (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.27
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.96 vs 0.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Nykopings or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Ragsved or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Nykopings clean sheet | 79% |
| Ragsved clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nykopings is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Nykopings are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nykopings vs Ragsved — FAQ
Who will win Nykopings vs Ragsved?
Our statistical model makes Nykopings the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Nykopings 51%, draw 38%, Ragsved 11%.
Will both teams score in Nykopings vs Ragsved?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nykopings vs Ragsved?
Expected goals are 0.96 for Nykopings and 0.24 for Ragsved — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nykopings vs Ragsved?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (30%). Double chance for Nykopings or draw is 91%.