Nysa vs Brzeg Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Nysa vs Brzeg
Model pick: Nysa (84%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 11.37 – 4.53
Total goals: 15.9
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Nysa | Brzeg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 0.6 |
*Nysa shown at home, Brzeg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Nysa — last 5
DLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Brzeg — last 5
WWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Nysa (home) | Brzeg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (11.37 vs 4.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-4 (8%) |
| Double chance — Nysa or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Brzeg or draw (X2) | 19% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Nysa clean sheet | 1% |
| Brzeg clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nysa is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Nysa are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Nysa vs Brzeg — FAQ
Who will win Nysa vs Brzeg?
Our statistical model makes Nysa the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Nysa 84%, draw 8%, Brzeg 9%.
Will both teams score in Nysa vs Brzeg?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Nysa vs Brzeg?
Expected goals are 11.37 for Nysa and 4.53 for Brzeg — about 15.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Nysa vs Brzeg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-4 (8%). Double chance for Nysa or draw is 91%.