OB vs Horsens Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
OB vs Horsens
Model pick: OB (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 0.98
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| OB | Horsens |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.0 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
*OB shown at home, Horsens shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
OB — last 5
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At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsens — last 5
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On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | OB (home) | Horsens (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Noah Ganaus (11) | – |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — OB or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Horsens or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| OB clean sheet | 38% |
| Horsens clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
OB is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. OB are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ OB vs Horsens — FAQ
Who will win OB vs Horsens?
Our statistical model makes OB the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: OB 54%, draw 25%, Horsens 21%.
Will both teams score in OB vs Horsens?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in OB vs Horsens?
Expected goals are 1.68 for OB and 0.98 for Horsens — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in OB vs Horsens?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for OB or draw is 78%.