OB vs SønderjyskE Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
OB vs SønderjyskE
Model pick: OB (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.44
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| OB | SønderjyskE |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*OB shown at home, SønderjyskE shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
OB — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
SønderjyskE — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | OB (home) | SønderjyskE (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Noah Ganaus (11) | Matthew Hoppe (6) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — OB or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — SønderjyskE or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| OB clean sheet | 24% |
| SønderjyskE clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
OB is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. OB are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ OB vs SønderjyskE — FAQ
Who will win OB vs SønderjyskE?
Our statistical model makes OB the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: OB 44%, draw 26%, SønderjyskE 31%.
Will both teams score in OB vs SønderjyskE?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in OB vs SønderjyskE?
Expected goals are 1.62 for OB and 1.44 for SønderjyskE — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in OB vs SønderjyskE?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for OB or draw is 66%.