Oberachern vs Villingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Oberachern vs Villingen
Model pick: Oberachern (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.89 – 1.38
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oberachern | Villingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.75 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 |
*Oberachern shown at home, Villingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oberachern — last 5
WWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Villingen — last 5
LWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oberachern (home) | Villingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.89 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Oberachern or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Villingen or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Oberachern clean sheet | 25% |
| Villingen clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oberachern is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Oberachern are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oberachern vs Villingen — FAQ
Who will win Oberachern vs Villingen?
Our statistical model makes Oberachern the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Oberachern 47%, draw 24%, Villingen 29%.
Will both teams score in Oberachern vs Villingen?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Oberachern vs Villingen?
Expected goals are 1.89 for Oberachern and 1.38 for Villingen — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oberachern vs Villingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Oberachern or draw is 72%.