Oberhausen vs Koln II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Oberhausen vs Koln II
Model pick: Oberhausen (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 0.46
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oberhausen | Koln II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Oberhausen shown at home, Koln II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oberhausen — last 5
LDWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Koln II — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oberhausen (home) | Koln II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 0.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Oberhausen or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Koln II or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Oberhausen clean sheet | 63% |
| Koln II clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oberhausen is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Oberhausen are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oberhausen vs Koln II — FAQ
Who will win Oberhausen vs Koln II?
Our statistical model makes Oberhausen the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Oberhausen 63%, draw 25%, Koln II 12%.
Will both teams score in Oberhausen vs Koln II?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Oberhausen vs Koln II?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Oberhausen and 0.46 for Koln II — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oberhausen vs Koln II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Double chance for Oberhausen or draw is 90%.