Oberhausen vs Lotte Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Oberhausen vs Lotte
Model pick: Oberhausen (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 0.24
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oberhausen | Lotte |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.2 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
*Oberhausen shown at home, Lotte shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oberhausen — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lotte — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oberhausen (home) | Lotte (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 0.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Oberhausen or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Lotte or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Oberhausen clean sheet | 79% |
| Lotte clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oberhausen is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Oberhausen are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oberhausen vs Lotte — FAQ
Who will win Oberhausen vs Lotte?
Our statistical model makes Oberhausen the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Oberhausen 62%, draw 29%, Lotte 9%.
Will both teams score in Oberhausen vs Lotte?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Oberhausen vs Lotte?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Oberhausen and 0.24 for Lotte — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oberhausen vs Lotte?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (27%). Double chance for Oberhausen or draw is 94%.