Odd vs Kongsvinger Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Odd vs Kongsvinger
Model pick: Kongsvinger (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.84
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Odd | Kongsvinger |
|---|
| League position | #6 (29 pts) | #2 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.2 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 56% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.4 | 3.4 / 1.6 |
*Odd shown at home, Kongsvinger shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Odd — last 5
LDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Kongsvinger — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Odd (home) | Kongsvinger (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-2 in 9 (2.2 / 1.1 goals per game) | 5-2-2 in 9 (2.3 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 59% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.31 vs 1.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Odd or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Kongsvinger or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Odd clean sheet | 16% |
| Kongsvinger clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kongsvinger is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Kongsvinger edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Odd vs Kongsvinger — FAQ
Who will win Odd vs Kongsvinger?
Our statistical model makes Kongsvinger the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Odd 33%, draw 24%, Kongsvinger 43%.
Will both teams score in Odd vs Kongsvinger?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Odd vs Kongsvinger?
Expected goals are 1.31 for Odd and 1.84 for Kongsvinger — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Odd vs Kongsvinger?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Odd or draw is 50%.