Oddevold vs Falkenberg Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Oddevold vs Falkenberg
Model pick: Oddevold (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.49
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oddevold | Falkenberg |
|---|
| League position | #9 (29 pts) | #2 (38 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.3 | 2.3 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Oddevold shown at home, Falkenberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oddevold — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Falkenberg — last 5
DWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oddevold (home) | Falkenberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-4-3 in 10 (1.5 / 1.3 goals per game) | 5-2-3 in 10 (2.3 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 60% |
| Top scorer | Leonardo Shahin (2) | Albin Andersson (1) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 1.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Falkenberg or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 23% |
| Falkenberg clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oddevold is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Oddevold are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oddevold vs Falkenberg — FAQ
Who will win Oddevold vs Falkenberg?
Our statistical model makes Oddevold the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Oddevold 42%, draw 26%, Falkenberg 32%.
Will both teams score in Oddevold vs Falkenberg?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Oddevold vs Falkenberg?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Oddevold and 1.49 for Falkenberg — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oddevold vs Falkenberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Oddevold or draw is 59%.