Oddevold vs Helsingborg Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Oddevold vs Helsingborg
Model pick: Oddevold (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.21 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oddevold | Helsingborg |
|---|
| League position | #9 (26 pts) | #10 (25 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Oddevold shown at home, Helsingborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oddevold — last 5
LDDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Helsingborg — last 5
WDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oddevold (home) | Helsingborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-4-3 in 9 (1.3 / 1.3 goals per game) | 3-2-4 in 9 (1.6 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Leonardo Shahin (2) | Ervin Gigovic (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.21 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Helsingborg or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 31% |
| Helsingborg clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oddevold is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Oddevold are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oddevold vs Helsingborg — FAQ
Who will win Oddevold vs Helsingborg?
Our statistical model makes Oddevold the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Oddevold 44%, draw 27%, Helsingborg 29%.
Will both teams score in Oddevold vs Helsingborg?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Oddevold vs Helsingborg?
Expected goals are 1.21 for Oddevold and 1.18 for Helsingborg — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oddevold vs Helsingborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Oddevold or draw is 65%.