Oddevold vs Norrby Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Oddevold vs Norrby
Model pick: Oddevold (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.45 – 1.33
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oddevold | Norrby |
|---|
| League position | #9 (20 pts) | #12 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Oddevold shown at home, Norrby shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oddevold — last 5
LDDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Norrby — last 5
LWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oddevold (home) | Norrby (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-3-3 in 8 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-5-2 in 8 (1.1 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Leonardo Shahin (2) | – |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.45 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Norrby or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 26% |
| Norrby clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oddevold is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Oddevold are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oddevold vs Norrby — FAQ
Who will win Oddevold vs Norrby?
Our statistical model makes Oddevold the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Oddevold 51%, draw 24%, Norrby 24%.
Will both teams score in Oddevold vs Norrby?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Oddevold vs Norrby?
Expected goals are 1.45 for Oddevold and 1.33 for Norrby — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oddevold vs Norrby?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Oddevold or draw is 65%.