Offenbach vs Mainz II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Offenbach vs Mainz II
Model pick: Offenbach (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.5 – 0.66
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Offenbach | Mainz II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Offenbach shown at home, Mainz II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Offenbach — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Mainz II — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Offenbach (home) | Mainz II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.5 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Offenbach or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Mainz II or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Offenbach clean sheet | 52% |
| Mainz II clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Offenbach is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Offenbach are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Offenbach vs Mainz II — FAQ
Who will win Offenbach vs Mainz II?
Our statistical model makes Offenbach the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Offenbach 84%, draw 11%, Mainz II 6%.
Will both teams score in Offenbach vs Mainz II?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Offenbach vs Mainz II?
Expected goals are 3.5 for Offenbach and 0.66 for Mainz II — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Offenbach vs Mainz II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (11%). Double chance for Offenbach or draw is 96%.