OFK Levski vs Troyan Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
OFK Levski vs Troyan
Model pick: Troyan (100%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.13 – 8.84
Total goals: 9.0
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| OFK Levski | Troyan |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 0.5 |
*OFK Levski shown at home, Troyan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
OFK Levski — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Troyan — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | OFK Levski (home) | Troyan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.13 vs 8.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (25%) |
| Double chance — OFK Levski or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Troyan or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| OFK Levski clean sheet | 0% |
| Troyan clean sheet | 88% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Troyan is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Troyan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 9.0, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ OFK Levski vs Troyan — FAQ
Who will win OFK Levski vs Troyan?
Our statistical model makes Troyan the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: OFK Levski 0%, draw 0%, Troyan 100%.
Will both teams score in OFK Levski vs Troyan?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in OFK Levski vs Troyan?
Expected goals are 0.13 for OFK Levski and 8.84 for Troyan — about 9.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in OFK Levski vs Troyan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (25%). Double chance for OFK Levski or draw is 0%.