Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II
Model pick: Olimpia Elbląg (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 22.02 – 0.37
Total goals: 22.4
Over 2.5: 4%
Both teams score: 4%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olimpia Elbląg | Widzew Lodz II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 2.2 |
*Olimpia Elbląg shown at home, Widzew Lodz II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olimpia Elbląg — last 5
WDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Widzew Lodz II — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olimpia Elbląg (home) | Widzew Lodz II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (22.02 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Olimpia Elbląg or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Widzew Lodz II or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Olimpia Elbląg clean sheet | 69% |
| Widzew Lodz II clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olimpia Elbląg is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Olimpia Elbląg are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (96% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II — FAQ
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II?
Our statistical model makes Olimpia Elbląg the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Olimpia Elbląg 100%, draw 0%, Widzew Lodz II 0%.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II?
The model gives a 4% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II?
Expected goals are 22.02 for Olimpia Elbląg and 0.37 for Widzew Lodz II — about 22.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia Elbląg vs Widzew Lodz II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (45%). Double chance for Olimpia Elbląg or draw is 100%.