Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków
Model pick: Olimpia Grudziądz (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olimpia Grudziądz | Znicz Pruszków |
|---|
| League position | #14 (2 pts) | #2 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 4.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Olimpia Grudziądz shown at home, Znicz Pruszków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olimpia Grudziądz — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Znicz Pruszków — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olimpia Grudziądz (home) | Znicz Pruszków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 53% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Olimpia Grudziądz or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Znicz Pruszków or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Olimpia Grudziądz clean sheet | 30% |
| Znicz Pruszków clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olimpia Grudziądz is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Olimpia Grudziądz are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków — FAQ
Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków?
Our statistical model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Olimpia Grudziądz 40%, draw 27%, Znicz Pruszków 33%.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Olimpia Grudziądz and 1.22 for Znicz Pruszków — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia Grudziądz vs Znicz Pruszków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Olimpia Grudziądz or draw is 67%.