Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II
Model pick: Plock II (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 1.32
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olimpia Zambrów | Plock II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*Olimpia Zambrów shown at home, Plock II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olimpia Zambrów — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Plock II — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olimpia Zambrów (home) | Plock II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Olimpia Zambrów or draw (1X) | 43% |
| Double chance — Plock II or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Olimpia Zambrów clean sheet | 27% |
| Plock II clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plock II is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Plock II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II — FAQ
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II?
Our statistical model makes Plock II the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Olimpia Zambrów 17%, draw 30%, Plock II 53%.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II?
Expected goals are 0.51 for Olimpia Zambrów and 1.32 for Plock II — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia Zambrów vs Plock II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Olimpia Zambrów or draw is 43%.