Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II
Model pick: Widzew Lodz II (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.21 – 2.39
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olimpia Zambrów | Widzew Lodz II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
*Olimpia Zambrów shown at home, Widzew Lodz II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olimpia Zambrów — last 5
WLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Widzew Lodz II — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olimpia Zambrów (home) | Widzew Lodz II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.21 vs 2.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Olimpia Zambrów or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Widzew Lodz II or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Olimpia Zambrów clean sheet | 9% |
| Widzew Lodz II clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Widzew Lodz II is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Widzew Lodz II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II — FAQ
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II?
Our statistical model makes Widzew Lodz II the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Olimpia Zambrów 20%, draw 21%, Widzew Lodz II 59%.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II?
Expected goals are 1.21 for Olimpia Zambrów and 2.39 for Widzew Lodz II — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia Zambrów vs Widzew Lodz II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Olimpia Zambrów or draw is 37%.