Olimpo vs Kimberley Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Olimpo vs Kimberley
Model pick: Olimpo (70%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.65 – 0.19
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olimpo | Kimberley |
|---|
| League position | #1 (28 pts) | #3 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 0.0 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.2 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Olimpo shown at home, Kimberley shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olimpo — last 5
WDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Kimberley — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olimpo (home) | Kimberley (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-0 in 7 (0.7 / 0.0 goals per game) | 3-4-1 in 8 (0.9 / 0.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 100% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.0
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 38%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.65 vs 0.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Olimpo or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Kimberley or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Olimpo clean sheet | 83% |
| Kimberley clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olimpo is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Olimpo are backed at home, where they average 0.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olimpo vs Kimberley — FAQ
Who will win Olimpo vs Kimberley?
Our statistical model makes Olimpo the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Olimpo 70%, draw 24%, Kimberley 6%.
Will both teams score in Olimpo vs Kimberley?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Olimpo vs Kimberley?
Expected goals are 1.65 for Olimpo and 0.19 for Kimberley — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olimpo vs Kimberley?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (26%). Double chance for Olimpo or draw is 96%.