Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos Prediction & Preview
Super League (Greece) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (GREECE)
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos
Model pick: Olympiakos Piraeus (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.12 – 0.53
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olympiakos Piraeus | Atromitos |
|---|
| League position | #18 (11 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.2 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Olympiakos Piraeus shown at home, Atromitos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olympiakos Piraeus — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 52% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Atromitos — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olympiakos Piraeus (home) | Atromitos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-1 in 4 (1.5 / 1.2 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 52% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 48% |
| Top scorer | – | Steven Zuber (5) |
Super League (Greece) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.4
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Super League (Greece) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.12 vs 0.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Atromitos or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 59% |
| Atromitos clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olympiakos Piraeus is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Olympiakos Piraeus are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos — FAQ
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
Our statistical model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Olympiakos Piraeus 73%, draw 18%, Atromitos 9%.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
Expected goals are 2.12 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.53 for Atromitos — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (16%). Double chance for Olympiakos Piraeus or draw is 92%.