Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo
Model pick: Olympic Varna (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.47 – 2.79
Total goals: 6.3
Over 2.5: 84%
Both teams score: 76%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Olympic Varna | Septemvri Dragoevo |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 3.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 |
*Olympic Varna shown at home, Septemvri Dragoevo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Olympic Varna — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Septemvri Dragoevo — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Olympic Varna (home) | Septemvri Dragoevo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.47 vs 2.79):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (5%) |
| Double chance — Olympic Varna or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Septemvri Dragoevo or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Olympic Varna clean sheet | 6% |
| Septemvri Dragoevo clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Olympic Varna is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Olympic Varna are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.3, this shapes as an open game (84% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo — FAQ
Who will win Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
Our statistical model makes Olympic Varna the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Olympic Varna 50%, draw 18%, Septemvri Dragoevo 32%.
Will both teams score in Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
The model gives a 76% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
Expected goals are 3.47 for Olympic Varna and 2.79 for Septemvri Dragoevo — about 6.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Olympic Varna vs Septemvri Dragoevo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (5%). Double chance for Olympic Varna or draw is 68%.