Omonia vs Sint-Truiden Prediction & Preview
UEFA Europa League (Europe) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Omonia vs Sint-Truiden
Model pick: Omonia (34%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 0.7
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Omonia | Sint-Truiden |
|---|
| League position | #18 (8 pts) | #12 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 0.7 | 3.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Omonia shown at home, Sint-Truiden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Omonia — last 5
WLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Sint-Truiden — last 5
LLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Omonia (home) | Sint-Truiden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-2 in 3 (0.7 / 0.7 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (3.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 51% |
| Top scorer | – | Ryotaro Ito (8) |
UEFA Europa League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.68
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 41%
Use these UEFA Europa League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 0.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Omonia or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Sint-Truiden or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 52% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Omonia clean sheet | 50% |
| Sint-Truiden clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Omonia is the model's most likely outcome at
34%. Omonia are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Omonia vs Sint-Truiden — FAQ
Who will win Omonia vs Sint-Truiden?
Our statistical model makes Omonia the most likely result at 34%. Full probabilities: Omonia 34%, draw 34%, Sint-Truiden 32%.
Will both teams score in Omonia vs Sint-Truiden?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Omonia vs Sint-Truiden?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Omonia and 0.7 for Sint-Truiden — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Omonia vs Sint-Truiden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (45%). Double chance for Omonia or draw is 53%.