One Knoxville vs Boise Prediction & Preview
USL League One (USA) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 23:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL LEAGUE ONE (USA)
One Knoxville vs Boise
Model pick: One Knoxville (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| One Knoxville | Boise |
|---|
| League position | #4 (37 pts) | #5 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*One Knoxville shown at home, Boise shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
One Knoxville — last 5
LLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Boise — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | One Knoxville (home) | Boise (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-3 in 10 (1.6 / 1.1 goals per game) | 3-2-4 in 9 (1.4 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% |
USL League One (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 55%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 57%
Use these USL League One (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — One Knoxville or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Boise or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| One Knoxville clean sheet | 29% |
| Boise clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
One Knoxville is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. One Knoxville are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ One Knoxville vs Boise — FAQ
Who will win One Knoxville vs Boise?
Our statistical model makes One Knoxville the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: One Knoxville 41%, draw 27%, Boise 32%.
Will both teams score in One Knoxville vs Boise?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in One Knoxville vs Boise?
Expected goals are 1.47 for One Knoxville and 1.24 for Boise — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in One Knoxville vs Boise?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for One Knoxville or draw is 68%.