Operário PR vs CRB Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 23:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Operário PR vs CRB
Model pick: Operário PR (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.0
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Operário PR | CRB |
|---|
| League position | #9 (37 pts) | #6 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 46% | 46% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
*Operário PR shown at home, CRB shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Operário PR — last 5
LLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
CRB — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Operário PR (home) | CRB (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-4-3 in 13 (1.3 / 1.2 goals per game) | 6-3-4 in 13 (1.3 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Boschilia (9) | Mikael (11) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Operário PR or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — CRB or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Operário PR clean sheet | 37% |
| CRB clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Operário PR is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Operário PR are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Operário PR vs CRB — FAQ
Who will win Operário PR vs CRB?
Our statistical model makes Operário PR the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Operário PR 40%, draw 30%, CRB 31%.
Will both teams score in Operário PR vs CRB?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Operário PR vs CRB?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Operário PR and 1.0 for CRB — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Operário PR vs CRB?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Operário PR or draw is 69%.