Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo
Model pick: Operário PR (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 0.98
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Operário PR | Sao Bernardo |
|---|
| League position | #3 (35 pts) | #12 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 56% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
*Operário PR shown at home, Sao Bernardo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Operário PR — last 5
WWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Sao Bernardo — last 5
LDDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Operário PR (home) | Sao Bernardo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-3-1 in 10 (1.5 / 1.1 goals per game) | 5-1-3 in 9 (1.7 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 100% |
| Top scorer | Boschilia (8) | – |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Operário PR or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Sao Bernardo or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Operário PR clean sheet | 38% |
| Sao Bernardo clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Operário PR is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Operário PR are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo — FAQ
Who will win Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo?
Our statistical model makes Operário PR the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Operário PR 47%, draw 29%, Sao Bernardo 25%.
Will both teams score in Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Operário PR and 0.98 for Sao Bernardo — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Operário PR vs Sao Bernardo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Operário PR or draw is 74%.