Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2
Model pick: Oppsal (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.91 – 1.28
Total goals: 6.2
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oppsal | Sarpsborg 08 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
*Oppsal shown at home, Sarpsborg 08 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oppsal — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Sarpsborg 08 2 — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oppsal (home) | Sarpsborg 08 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.91 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Oppsal or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Sarpsborg 08 2 or draw (X2) | 10% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Oppsal clean sheet | 28% |
| Sarpsborg 08 2 clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oppsal is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Oppsal are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.2, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2 — FAQ
Who will win Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2?
Our statistical model makes Oppsal the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Oppsal 63%, draw 17%, Sarpsborg 08 2 20%.
Will both teams score in Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2?
Expected goals are 4.91 for Oppsal and 1.28 for Sarpsborg 08 2 — about 6.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for Oppsal or draw is 96%.