Orkla vs Ntnui Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Orkla vs Ntnui
Model pick: Orkla (74%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.06 – 0.96
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Orkla | Ntnui |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 4.75 | 0.75 / 2.25 |
*Orkla shown at home, Ntnui shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Orkla — last 5
LLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ntnui — last 5
LDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Orkla (home) | Ntnui (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.06 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Orkla or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Ntnui or draw (X2) | 21% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Orkla clean sheet | 38% |
| Ntnui clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Orkla is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Orkla are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Orkla vs Ntnui — FAQ
Who will win Orkla vs Ntnui?
Our statistical model makes Orkla the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Orkla 74%, draw 15%, Ntnui 11%.
Will both teams score in Orkla vs Ntnui?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Orkla vs Ntnui?
Expected goals are 3.06 for Orkla and 0.96 for Ntnui — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Orkla vs Ntnui?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (9%). Double chance for Orkla or draw is 91%.