Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn
Model pick: Draw (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.45 – 0.41
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Orn | SK Gjovik-Lyn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.67 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Orn shown at home, SK Gjovik-Lyn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Orn — last 5
WLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
SK Gjovik-Lyn — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Orn (home) | SK Gjovik-Lyn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.73
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.45 vs 0.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (42%) |
| Double chance — Orn or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — SK Gjovik-Lyn or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 50% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Orn clean sheet | 66% |
| SK Gjovik-Lyn clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn — FAQ
Who will win Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Orn 27%, draw 48%, SK Gjovik-Lyn 25%.
Will both teams score in Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
Expected goals are 0.45 for Orn and 0.41 for SK Gjovik-Lyn — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Orn vs SK Gjovik-Lyn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (42%). Double chance for Orn or draw is 77%.