Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor Prediction & Preview
Super Lig (Turkey) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIG (TURKEY)
Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor
Model pick: Çorum FK (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 1.69
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Çorum FK | Eyüpspor |
|---|
| League position | #16 (1 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
*Çorum FK shown at home, Eyüpspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Çorum FK — last 5
WWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Eyüpspor — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Çorum FK (home) | Eyüpspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Top scorer | Mame Thiam (6) | – |
Super Lig (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Super Lig (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 1.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Çorum FK or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Eyüpspor or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Çorum FK clean sheet | 18% |
| Eyüpspor clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Çorum FK is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Çorum FK are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor — FAQ
Who will win Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor?
Our statistical model makes Çorum FK the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Çorum FK 48%, draw 26%, Eyüpspor 27%.
Will both teams score in Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor?
Expected goals are 1.57 for Çorum FK and 1.69 for Eyüpspor — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Çorum FK or draw is 59%.