OS TF vs Forde Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
OS TF vs Forde
Model pick: OS TF (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.09 – 1.26
Total goals: 5.3
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| OS TF | Forde |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 1.4 |
*OS TF shown at home, Forde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
OS TF — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Forde — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | OS TF (home) | Forde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.09 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — OS TF or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Forde or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| OS TF clean sheet | 28% |
| Forde clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
OS TF is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. OS TF are backed at home, where they average 4.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.3, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ OS TF vs Forde — FAQ
Who will win OS TF vs Forde?
Our statistical model makes OS TF the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: OS TF 80%, draw 11%, Forde 9%.
Will both teams score in OS TF vs Forde?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in OS TF vs Forde?
Expected goals are 4.09 for OS TF and 1.26 for Forde — about 5.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in OS TF vs Forde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for OS TF or draw is 93%.