OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 11, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III
Model pick: OSC Bremerhaven (70%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.61 – 2.31
Total goals: 6.9
Over 2.5: 86%
Both teams score: 74%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| OSC Bremerhaven | Werder Bremen III |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 5.0 |
*OSC Bremerhaven shown at home, Werder Bremen III shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
OSC Bremerhaven — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Werder Bremen III — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | OSC Bremerhaven (home) | Werder Bremen III (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.61 vs 2.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-2 (5%) |
| Double chance — OSC Bremerhaven or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Werder Bremen III or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| OSC Bremerhaven clean sheet | 10% |
| Werder Bremen III clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
OSC Bremerhaven is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. OSC Bremerhaven are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.9, this shapes as an open game (86% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III — FAQ
Who will win OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III?
Our statistical model makes OSC Bremerhaven the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: OSC Bremerhaven 70%, draw 14%, Werder Bremen III 17%.
Will both teams score in OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III?
The model gives a 74% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III?
Expected goals are 4.61 for OSC Bremerhaven and 2.31 for Werder Bremen III — about 6.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-2 (5%). Double chance for OSC Bremerhaven or draw is 86%.