Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction & Preview
HNL (Croatia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
HNL (CROATIA)
Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica
Model pick: Osijek (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Osijek | Slaven Koprivnica |
|---|
| League position | #2 (9 pts) | #8 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Osijek shown at home, Slaven Koprivnica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Osijek — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Slaven Koprivnica — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Osijek (home) | Slaven Koprivnica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Simun Mikolcic (2) | Ilija Nestorovski (4) |
HNL (Croatia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 48%
Use these HNL (Croatia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Osijek or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Slaven Koprivnica or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Osijek clean sheet | 38% |
| Slaven Koprivnica clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Osijek is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Osijek are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica — FAQ
Who will win Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica?
Our statistical model makes Osijek the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Osijek 50%, draw 26%, Slaven Koprivnica 24%.
Will both teams score in Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Osijek and 0.96 for Slaven Koprivnica — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Osijek or draw is 77%.