Oyonesa vs Anguiano Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Oyonesa vs Anguiano
Model pick: Oyonesa (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Oyonesa | Anguiano |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
*Oyonesa shown at home, Anguiano shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Oyonesa — last 5
DWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Anguiano — last 5
DWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 44% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Oyonesa (home) | Anguiano (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Oyonesa or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Anguiano or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Oyonesa clean sheet | 36% |
| Anguiano clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Oyonesa is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Oyonesa are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Oyonesa vs Anguiano — FAQ
Who will win Oyonesa vs Anguiano?
Our statistical model makes Oyonesa the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Oyonesa 44%, draw 28%, Anguiano 28%.
Will both teams score in Oyonesa vs Anguiano?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Oyonesa vs Anguiano?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Oyonesa and 1.03 for Anguiano — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Oyonesa vs Anguiano?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Oyonesa or draw is 73%.