Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa
Model pick: Ozd-Sajovolgye (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.75 – 0.26
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ozd-Sajovolgye | Tarpa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Ozd-Sajovolgye shown at home, Tarpa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ozd-Sajovolgye — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Tarpa — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ozd-Sajovolgye (home) | Tarpa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.75 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Ozd-Sajovolgye or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Tarpa or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Ozd-Sajovolgye clean sheet | 77% |
| Tarpa clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ozd-Sajovolgye is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Ozd-Sajovolgye are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa — FAQ
Who will win Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa?
Our statistical model makes Ozd-Sajovolgye the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Ozd-Sajovolgye 92%, draw 6%, Tarpa 2%.
Will both teams score in Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa?
Expected goals are 3.75 for Ozd-Sajovolgye and 0.26 for Tarpa — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Tarpa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (16%). Double chance for Ozd-Sajovolgye or draw is 99%.