Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés
Model pick: Cartaginés (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.09 – 1.36
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pérez Zeledón | Cartaginés |
|---|
| League position | #10 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 2.0 / 0.6 |
*Pérez Zeledón shown at home, Cartaginés shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pérez Zeledón — last 5
DLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Cartaginés — last 5
WWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pérez Zeledón (home) | Cartaginés (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 48% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.09 vs 1.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Pérez Zeledón or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Cartaginés or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Pérez Zeledón clean sheet | 26% |
| Cartaginés clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cartaginés is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Cartaginés edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés — FAQ
Who will win Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés?
Our statistical model makes Cartaginés the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Pérez Zeledón 30%, draw 28%, Cartaginés 42%.
Will both teams score in Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés?
Expected goals are 1.09 for Pérez Zeledón and 1.36 for Cartaginés — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pérez Zeledón vs Cartaginés?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Pérez Zeledón or draw is 57%.