Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 22:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos
Model pick: Inter San Carlos (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.24 – 1.4
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pérez Zeledón | Inter San Carlos |
|---|
| League position | #7 (4 pts) | #6 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.33 / 1.33 |
*Pérez Zeledón shown at home, Inter San Carlos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pérez Zeledón — last 5
LDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Inter San Carlos — last 5
LDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pérez Zeledón (home) | Inter San Carlos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 100% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.7
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.24 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Pérez Zeledón or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Inter San Carlos or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Pérez Zeledón clean sheet | 25% |
| Inter San Carlos clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Inter San Carlos is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Inter San Carlos edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos — FAQ
Who will win Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos?
Our statistical model makes Inter San Carlos the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Pérez Zeledón 33%, draw 27%, Inter San Carlos 40%.
Will both teams score in Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos?
Expected goals are 1.24 for Pérez Zeledón and 1.4 for Inter San Carlos — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pérez Zeledón vs Inter San Carlos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Pérez Zeledón or draw is 59%.