Paide vs Rapid Wien Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Paide vs Rapid Wien
Model pick: Rapid Wien (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.04 – 2.86
Total goals: 5.9
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Paide | Rapid Wien |
|---|
| League position | #4 (32 pts) | #6 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 3.8 / 1.2 |
*Paide shown at home, Rapid Wien shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Paide — last 5
DWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Rapid Wien — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Paide (home) | Rapid Wien (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-3 in 9 (1.3 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 56% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.04 vs 2.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (5%) |
| Double chance — Paide or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Paide clean sheet | 6% |
| Rapid Wien clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rapid Wien is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Rapid Wien edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.9, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Paide vs Rapid Wien — FAQ
Who will win Paide vs Rapid Wien?
Our statistical model makes Rapid Wien the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Paide 27%, draw 21%, Rapid Wien 53%.
Will both teams score in Paide vs Rapid Wien?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Paide vs Rapid Wien?
Expected goals are 3.04 for Paide and 2.86 for Rapid Wien — about 5.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Paide vs Rapid Wien?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (5%). Double chance for Paide or draw is 61%.