Paks II vs Ferencvaros II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) ยท Aug 12, 2026 ยท kickoff 15:30 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Paks II vs Ferencvaros II
Model pick: Ferencvaros II (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 โ 0.91
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 22%
Both teams score: 25%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Paks II | Ferencvaros II |
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.5 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
*Paks II shown at home, Ferencvaros II shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Paks II โ last 5
DL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferencvaros II โ last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Paks II (home) | Ferencvaros II (away) |
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (35%) |
| Double chance โ Paks II or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance โ Ferencvaros II or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Paks II clean sheet | 40% |
| Ferencvaros II clean sheet | 87% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Ferencvaros II is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Ferencvaros II edge the model โ their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (78% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Paks II vs Ferencvaros II โ FAQ
Who will win Paks II vs Ferencvaros II?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros II the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Paks II 8%, draw 40%, Ferencvaros II 53%.
Will both teams score in Paks II vs Ferencvaros II?
The model gives a 25% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Paks II vs Ferencvaros II?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Paks II and 0.91 for Ferencvaros II โ about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Paks II vs Ferencvaros II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (35%). Double chance for Paks II or draw is 45%.