Palermo vs Juve Stabia Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Italy) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (ITALY)
Palermo vs Juve Stabia
Model pick: Palermo (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.54 – 0.9
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Palermo | Juve Stabia |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
*Palermo shown at home, Juve Stabia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Palermo — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Juve Stabia — last 5
WWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Palermo (home) | Juve Stabia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 47% |
Serie B (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.45
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Serie B (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.54 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Palermo or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Juve Stabia or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Palermo clean sheet | 41% |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Palermo is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Palermo are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Palermo vs Juve Stabia — FAQ
Who will win Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
Our statistical model makes Palermo the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Palermo 57%, draw 26%, Juve Stabia 17%.
Will both teams score in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
Expected goals are 1.54 for Palermo and 0.9 for Juve Stabia — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Palermo vs Juve Stabia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Palermo or draw is 78%.