PAOK vs Levadiakos Prediction & Preview
Super League (Greece) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (GREECE)
PAOK vs Levadiakos
Model pick: PAOK (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.51 – 0.95
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| PAOK | Levadiakos |
|---|
| League position | #17 (12 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 0.2 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*PAOK shown at home, Levadiakos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
PAOK — last 5
LWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Levadiakos — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | PAOK (home) | Levadiakos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-0 in 4 (1.8 / 0.2 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Andrija Zivkovic (3) | Fabricio Pedrozo (11) |
Super League (Greece) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.4
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Super League (Greece) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.51 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — PAOK or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Levadiakos or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| PAOK clean sheet | 39% |
| Levadiakos clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
PAOK is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. PAOK are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ PAOK vs Levadiakos — FAQ
Who will win PAOK vs Levadiakos?
Our statistical model makes PAOK the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: PAOK 69%, draw 20%, Levadiakos 12%.
Will both teams score in PAOK vs Levadiakos?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in PAOK vs Levadiakos?
Expected goals are 2.51 for PAOK and 0.95 for Levadiakos — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in PAOK vs Levadiakos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for PAOK or draw is 88%.