Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II
Model pick: Papai Perutz (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 1.4
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Papai Perutz | Puskas Academy II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.75 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
*Papai Perutz shown at home, Puskas Academy II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Papai Perutz — last 5
LWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Puskas Academy II — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Papai Perutz (home) | Puskas Academy II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Papai Perutz or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Puskas Academy II or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Papai Perutz clean sheet | 25% |
| Puskas Academy II clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Papai Perutz is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Papai Perutz are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II — FAQ
Who will win Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II?
Our statistical model makes Papai Perutz the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Papai Perutz 46%, draw 24%, Puskas Academy II 30%.
Will both teams score in Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Papai Perutz and 1.4 for Puskas Academy II — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Papai Perutz vs Puskas Academy II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Papai Perutz or draw is 71%.