Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II
Model pick: Papai Perutz (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.25 – 1.8
Total goals: 6.0
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Papai Perutz | Zalaegerszegi II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.75 | 1.5 / 2.25 |
*Papai Perutz shown at home, Zalaegerszegi II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Papai Perutz — last 5
LWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Zalaegerszegi II — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Papai Perutz (home) | Zalaegerszegi II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.25 vs 1.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (6%) |
| Double chance — Papai Perutz or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Zalaegerszegi II or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Papai Perutz clean sheet | 17% |
| Zalaegerszegi II clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Papai Perutz is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Papai Perutz are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.0, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II — FAQ
Who will win Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II?
Our statistical model makes Papai Perutz the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Papai Perutz 73%, draw 13%, Zalaegerszegi II 14%.
Will both teams score in Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II?
Expected goals are 4.25 for Papai Perutz and 1.8 for Zalaegerszegi II — about 6.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Papai Perutz vs Zalaegerszegi II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (6%). Double chance for Papai Perutz or draw is 89%.