Paraguari AC vs Guaireña Prediction & Preview
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION INTERMEDIA (PARAGUAY)
Paraguari AC vs Guaireña
Model pick: Paraguari AC (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 0.47
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Paraguari AC | Guaireña |
|---|
| League position | #13 (23 pts) | #11 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Paraguari AC shown at home, Guaireña shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Paraguari AC — last 5
WDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Guaireña — last 5
LLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Paraguari AC (home) | Guaireña (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-4 in 11 (1.2 / 0.9 goals per game) | 2-4-4 in 10 (1.0 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 43% |
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.55
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Division Intermedia (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 0.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Paraguari AC or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Guaireña or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Paraguari AC clean sheet | 63% |
| Guaireña clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Paraguari AC is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Paraguari AC are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Paraguari AC vs Guaireña — FAQ
Who will win Paraguari AC vs Guaireña?
Our statistical model makes Paraguari AC the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Paraguari AC 45%, draw 36%, Guaireña 19%.
Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Guaireña?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Paraguari AC vs Guaireña?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Paraguari AC and 0.47 for Guaireña — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Paraguari AC vs Guaireña?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (23%). Double chance for Paraguari AC or draw is 83%.