Pardubice B vs Caslav Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Pardubice B vs Caslav
Model pick: Pardubice B (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.64 – 0.01
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 11%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pardubice B | Caslav |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.67 |
*Pardubice B shown at home, Caslav shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pardubice B — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Caslav — last 5
LDL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pardubice B (home) | Caslav (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.64 vs 0.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Pardubice B or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Caslav or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Pardubice B clean sheet | 99% |
| Caslav clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pardubice B is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Pardubice B are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pardubice B vs Caslav — FAQ
Who will win Pardubice B vs Caslav?
Our statistical model makes Pardubice B the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Pardubice B 95%, draw 4%, Caslav 0%.
Will both teams score in Pardubice B vs Caslav?
The model gives a 11% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pardubice B vs Caslav?
Expected goals are 3.64 for Pardubice B and 0.01 for Caslav — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pardubice B vs Caslav?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (21%). Double chance for Pardubice B or draw is 100%.